Key Provisions of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act ( ACA ): A Systematic Review and Presentation of Early Research Findings

* Address correspondence to Michael T. French, Ph.D., Departments of Sociology, Health Sector Management and Policy, Economics, and Public Health Sciences, University of Miami, 5202 University Drive, Merrick Building, Room 121F, P.O. Box 248162, Coral Gables, FL 33124‐2030; e‐mail: ude.imaim@hcnerfm.

Copyright © Health Research and Educational Trust

Associated Data

Appendix SA1: Author Matrix. GUID: 8A26848F-3957-4AAD-9D19-BD8378945725

Abstract

Objectives

To conduct a systematic literature review of selected major provisions of the Affordable Care Act ( ACA ) pertaining to expanded health insurance coverage. We present and synthesize research findings from the last 5 years regarding both the immediate and long‐term effects of the ACA . We conclude with a summary and offer a research agenda for future studies.

Study Design

We identified relevant articles from peer‐reviewed scholarly journals by performing a comprehensive search of major electronic databases. We also identified reports in the “gray literature” disseminated by government agencies and other organizations.

Principal Findings

Overall, research shows that the ACA has substantially decreased the number of uninsured individuals through the dependent coverage provision, Medicaid expansion, health insurance exchanges, availability of subsidies, and other policy changes. Affordability of health insurance continues to be a concern for many people and disparities persist by geography, race/ethnicity, and income. Early evidence also indicates improvements in access to and affordability of health care. All of these changes are certain to ultimately impact state and federal budgets.

Conclusions

The ACA will either directly or indirectly affect almost all Americans. As new and comprehensive data become available, more rigorous evaluations will provide further insights as to whether the ACA has been successful in achieving its goals.

Keywords: Affordable Care Act ( ACA ), health insurance, health care, systematic review

On March 23, 2010, following a long and controversial political and legislative process, President Obama signed the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) into law, ushering in the most significant changes to the U.S. health care system since the passage of Medicare and Medicaid in 1965. The ACA includes a series of ambitious reforms that build upon the existing system of employer‐sponsored insurance (ESI) and creates new requirements for individuals, employers, health care providers, and insurance companies. It is intended to address three main areas: access to health insurance, health care costs, and the delivery of care (Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum 2015). Certain elements of the law became active soon after its passage in 2010, but most provisions took effect in 2014 (see Table 1 for the ACA timeline). 1

Table 1

Timeline for Implementation of Major Provisions of the ACA

2010Employers are provided funding to cover individuals retiring between the ages of 55 and 65
Federal government offers tax credits to cover a portion of the employer's contribution for small businesses with less than 25 employees a
Establishes a new Patient's Bill of Rights b
Requires all plans to include certain preventive services without cost‐sharing b
Insurance companies cannot deny coverage to children under age 19 with preexisting conditions b
Creates a new process to monitor premium rate increases and report the minimum medical loss ratio a
*Young adults are covered by their parent's health insurance until age 26 (dependent coverage provision) b
Provides financial incentives to PCPs, nurses, and physician assistants, and increases payments to PCPs in rural communities, underserved areas, and community health centers c
2011Provides a 10% bonus payment from Medicare to PCPs for 5 years
2012Imposes new annual fees on the pharmaceutical manufacturing sector a
Creates a Medicare Value‐Based Purchasing program d
2013*Initial open enrollment in the individual health insurance marketplace begins d
The Bundled Payments for Care Improvement Initiative begins to test models for reimbursement
*Increases Medicaid reimbursement rates for primary care services provided by PCPs to 100% of the Medicare rates for 2013 and 2014
Increases Medicare Part A tax rate from 1.45% to 2.35% on individuals earning over $200,000 and couples earning $250,000, as well as a 3.8% tax on unearned income for high‐income tax payers
Imposes 2.3% excise tax on the sale of any taxable medical device
Modifies tax treatment of health savings and flexible spending accounts
2014Insurance companies cannot deny coverage based on preexisting conditions and can only vary rates based on rating area, family size, tobacco use, and age (but not on health status, previous claims history, or gender)
Risk adjustment, reinsurance, and risk corridor programs go into effect to help stabilize premiums and reduce adverse selection
*Increases small business tax credits for those participating in the state insurance exchanges a
*Provides tax credits to individuals or families earning between 100% and 400% of the federal poverty level who purchase their health insurance through the exchanges
All health insurance plans must provide an “essential health benefits package”
*Expands federally funded Medicaid coverage to cover individuals earning up to 133% of the federal poverty level in certain states
Initial enrollment in the Small Business Health Options Program (SHOP) begins on November 15
Imposes annual fees on the health insurance sector a
*U.S. citizens without health insurance pay a tax penalty (individual mandate) a
2015*Employers with 100 or more full‐time employees pay a penalty if they fail to offer health insurance coverage (employer mandate)
2016*Employers with 50 or more full‐time employees pay a penalty if they fail to offer health insurance coverage (employer mandate)
2018Excise tax of 40% imposed on employer‐sponsored private health insurance plans above a certain value (“Cadillac tax”)

Provisions went into effect on January 1, unless noted otherwise. The provisions discussed in this review are marked with an asterisk (*). PCP stands for primary care physician.

a Assessed annually. b Effective for plans beginning on or after September 23, 2010. c Effective dates vary. d Effective October 1.

The ACA includes multiple strategies to target different groups and increase overall insurance coverage. Young adults are now able to remain on their parents’ insurance plans as dependents until age 26 (dependent coverage provision). Larger employers are required to offer affordable, comprehensive health insurance to full‐time employees (employer mandate). Individuals who do not have ESI must purchase insurance on their own or pay a penalty (individual mandate), and premium tax credits are available to some. These individuals and small businesses can purchase plans through state‐level exchanges or the federal marketplace. To assist low‐income individuals, the ACA expands Medicaid eligibility to all individuals under age 65 (nonelderly) with annual incomes up to 133 percent of the federal poverty level, but not all states have agreed to participate. These provisions aim not only to expand insurance coverage but also to improve the affordability of insurance plans.

The ACA also imposes new regulations on insurance companies and their policies. For example, insurance companies can no longer charge higher premiums or deny coverage due to preexisting conditions, and insurance policies have to provide a minimum amount of preventive services without any cost‐sharing. The ACA calls for changes in various taxes pertaining to insurance policies and overall financing. Other provisions focus on improving the delivery of care by streamlining services, incorporating health information technology, strengthening the health care workforce, reducing fraud and waste, and altering payments in a way that incentivizes providers to contain costs while improving the quality of care. 2

Assessing the full and lasting impacts of the ACA is challenging because the provisions are multifaceted and the potential outcomes extend to taxpayers, patients, health care providers, insurance companies, and governments. Preimplementation projections of the ACA's effects were largely based on simulation models of earlier Medicaid enrollment or the Massachusetts health insurance expansion (e.g., Gruber 2011a). In 2010, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO 2010) projected that by 2019, 32 million people would gain health insurance coverage, ESI coverage would decline slightly, and significant increases in federal spending due to the ACA would be offset by increased revenue. Making precise predictions is daunting, however, as many factors affect successful implementation of the ACA, such as enrollment levels, insurer participation, and providers’ willingness to accept Medicaid patients.

While the ACA is comprised of 10 titles and hundreds of sections, this review focuses on key provisions related to expansion of health insurance coverage through dependent coverage provisions and ESI, health insurance exchanges, employer and individual mandates, and Medicaid expansion. Unlike other summaries of the existing literature (e.g., Hall and Lord 2014; Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum 2015), we conduct a structured and systematic review of research findings regarding the effects of the ACA since 2010 and focus on the key provisions listed above. Besides a summary and synthesis of current findings, we also offer suggestions for future research.

Methods

Literature Search

We used three methods to identify relevant studies for our analysis. First, we performed structured and systematic searches using the Thomson Reuters’ Web of Science, the National Library of Medicine's Medline (PubMed), and the American Economic Association's EconLit. We searched for the phrase “Affordable Care Act” in titles, abstracts, or topics without any additional keywords to avoid inadvertently excluding relevant studies. These searches yielded a total of 1,375 studies from Web of Science, 1,656 studies from Medline, and 97 studies from EconLit. We focused on published articles in the English language that appeared in peer‐reviewed scholarly journals as well as reports that appeared in the “gray literature.” Second, we augmented our systematic searches to include relevant reports from various research organizations and government agencies. Third, we browsed the reference sections of the retrieved articles. The entire search process was conducted from July to September 2015, and it was limited to studies appearing since 2010.

Inclusion Criteria and Screening

Our inclusion criteria are essentially based on whether the study provides a systematic evaluation of one or more elements of the ACA's implementation. Given the vast number of studies on this topic, we focus on those provisions related to the expansion of health insurance coverage. Both quantitative and qualitative studies were included, but we excluded studies that merely describe the legislation or examine data from prior to the implementation (i.e., to establish a baseline). We also eliminated any studies that simply use projections or extrapolations based on data prior to implementation of the ACA. Finally, we excluded studies pertaining to ethical, legal, or political aspects of the ACA.

During the first round of screening, two coauthors independently screened the title and abstract of each study to identify those that potentially met the inclusion criteria. After a comparison of the two sets of ratings, any inconsistencies were resolved through discussions. When necessary, a third coauthor was asked to render a judgment. As a result, we obtained 162 full‐text articles for a final examination pertaining to relevance and to eliminate any inappropriate items such as opinion pieces. Ultimately, we selected a total of 72 studies through our elaborate screening process. These were augmented by 24 reports and articles found in the gray literature. While Table 2 lists the final set of 96 studies together with brief descriptions, given space limitations, we do not cover all in the results section. The discussion below includes only those studies that were deemed most relevant or provide more recent evidence, and they are organized by groupings of key ACA provisions.

Table 2

Summary of Selected Research Studies

Research StudyData/MethodsBrief Description
Abraham, Feldman, and Simon (2014)*National Association of Insurance Commissioners; CPS; KFF; Descriptive statistics to describe each state's insurance market and to test the differences in attributes between exchange participants and nonparticipants; Multivariate regression analysis with an incumbent insurer's decision to participate in the exchanges as the outcome measureInsurer participation in exchanges is related to presence in the region and size of the insurer.
Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon (2013)*SIPP; DD with insurance coverage and labor market outcomes as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with increases in coverage and parental coverage among young adults relative to comparison group.
Akosa Antwi et al. (2015)*National Emergency Department Sample; DD with ED visits as the outcome measureDependent coverage provision is associated with modest decline in ED visits for young adults relative to comparison group.
Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon (2015)*Nationwide Inpatient Sample, Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project; DD with number and sources of inpatient admissions, fraction of admissions insured, and the intensity of treatment as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with increases in mental health visits and inpatient visits by young adults relative to comparison group.
Angier et al. (2015)*Longitudinal study of coverage status for adult encounters in community health centers (CHCs); multivariate regression analysis of CHC visits by insurance and Medicaid expansion statusThe proportion of uninsured visits decreased and Medicaid‐covered visits increased in Medicaid expansion states in 2014 compared to 2013.
Artiga, Rudowitz, and Ranji (2015)*Focus groups with either previously uninsured adults who enrolled in the ACA Medicaid expansion (Ohio and Arkansas) or those who would be eligible if their state had expanded Medicaid (Missouri)States’ decision whether to expand Medicaid or how they went about the expansion implementation affected experiences of low‐income adults, including their access to care as well as their ability to work.
Artiga, Stephens, and Damico (2015)*CPS; Descriptive statistics on the uninsured and those who fall within the “coverage gap” after imputing eligibility for ACA subsidies, unauthorized immigrant status, and ESI offer statusEstimate there are 3.7 million adults in the coverage gap in 22 states that have not expanded Medicaid as of March 2015.
Bachrach, Boozang, and Glanz (2015)*Interviews with state officials; estimates of the budgetary impact of Medicaid expansion in a sample of eight statesMedicaid expansion allows states to realize savings (through reductions in spending on programs for the uninsured) and revenue gains (through existing insurer or provider taxes).
Barbaresco, Courtemanche, and Qi (2015)*BRFSS; DD with outcomes related to health care access, preventive care utilization, risky behaviors, and self‐assessed healthDependent coverage provision is associated with some improvements in health care access and health‐related outcomes among young adults relative to comparison group. Report large gains for men and college graduates.
Barcellos et al. (2014)*American Life Panel; multivariate regression analysis with knowledge about ACA, health insurance literacy, and expectations for changes in health care as outcomesKnowledge of the ACA and health literacy is low overall, especially among low‐income individuals.
Barker et al. (2014a)*Area Health Resource File; descriptive statistics on geographic variation in marketplace premiumsPremiums for exchange plans are higher in less densely populated areas.
Barker et al. (2014b)*Healthcare.gov and state agencies; overview of important factors that influence the differences in marketplace plans across geographic areas (urban vs. rural)Urban counties, on average, have more plans and plans with higher actuarial values available on their exchanges.
Blavin et al. (2015)*Health Reform Monitoring Survey; multivariate regression analysis with employer offer rates, employee take‐up rates, and ESI coverage as outcomesOffer, take‐up, and coverage rates for ESI have remained the same under the ACA.
Blumberg and Rifkin (2014)*Case study using stakeholder interviews in eight statesIdentify reasons for SHOP's slow start and areas for improvement.
Blumenthal and Collins (2014)*Overview and assessment of existing findingsProvide a progress report on ACA as of mid‐2014.
Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum (2015)*Overview and assessment of existing findingsReview various effects of the ACA at the 5‐year mark.
Brandon and Carnes (2014)*Case studies of marketplace launches in Kentucky and North CarolinaDescribe elements of successful exchanges.
Brooks (2014)*Description and discussion of the “family glitch”Many dependents face challenges with “affordable” care and will remain uninsured if the family glitch is not fixed. Low‐income families and those who live in Medicaid nonexpansion states have been disproportionately affected.
Busch, Golberstein, and Meara (2014)*MEPS; DD with insurance coverage and out‐of‐pocket medical expenditures as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with a decrease in the proportion of young adults with high out‐of‐pocket medical expenses relative to comparison group.
Cantor et al. (2012)*CPS; DD with insurance coverage by source as outcome measureEstimate rapid and substantial increase in the number of young adults who gained parental coverage by 2011.
Carlson et al. (2014)*CPS; DD with self‐rated health as outcome measureDependent coverage provision is associated with improvements in self‐reported health among young adults relative to comparison group.
CMS (2014)*CMS press release of data on marketplacesReports that more issuers and health plans are available through exchanges in 2015 than in 2014.
Chandra, Holmes, and Skinner (2013)*Various sources; overview of trends in health care spending and the contributing factorsAs of 2013, cost‐saving features of the ACA were not yet fully implemented, so they could not explain the slowdown in health care expenditures that began in 2006.
Chua and Sommers (2014)*MEPS; DD with insurance coverage, selected measures of health care utilization, and self‐reported health as outcome measuresThe dependent coverage provision is associated with improvements in self‐reported health status and protection against medical expenditures among young adults aged 19–25 years.
Claxton et al. (2012)KFF/HRET Survey of Employer Health Benefits; Descriptive statistics on ESI coverage, premiums, and parental coverage for young adultsExamine trends in ESI coverage, premiums, and parental coverage for young adults.
Claxton et al. (2014a)*KFF/HRET Employer Health Benefit Survey; descriptive statistics on ESI offers, enrollment, premiums, cost‐sharing, and worker contributionsThe ESI market has experienced little change since the passage of the ACA.
Cohen and Martinez (2015)*Early release of NHIS estimates for health insurance coverage and the overtime trendsProvide estimates of health insurance coverage for 2014 by age, race/ethnicity, geography, type of insurance, and poverty level.
Collins et al. (2012)CF Health Insurance Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on insurance coverage and burden of medical bills and debtThe health and monetary consequences of uninsurance are significant for young adults, particularly those who are poor.
Collins et al. (2013a)*CF Health Insurance Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on uninsurance and enrollment under parents’ policy among the young adultsReport increase in the number of young adults on a parents’ policy between 2011 and 2013, in particular among those with low incomes.
Collins et al. (2013b)CF ACA Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on consumers’ experiences in marketplace at the end of the first monthMajority of potentially eligible adults are aware of the marketplace as a source of coverage but few reported visiting it at this point in time. Some individuals who visited but did not enroll yet reported technical problems with marketplace websites.
Collins et al. (2014a)*MEPS; descriptive statistics on the national trends in ESI coverage, premiums, cost‐sharing, and worker contributionsESI premiums, deductibles, and employee contributions increased between 2003 and 2013 but at a slower rate after 2010.
Collins et al. (2014b)CF ACA Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on consumers’ experiences in marketplace at the end of the first 3 monthsConsumers’ ability to compare benefits and premiums in the marketplace has improved since the rollout, but many reported difficulties with plan selection.
Collins et al. (2015a)*CF Biennial Health Insurance Survey; descriptive statistics on health insurance coverage, affordability, burden of medical bills and debt, access to routine health careReport results of survey showing improvements in coverage and affordability.
Collins et al. (2015b)*CF ACA Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on consumers’ experiences with marketplace and Medicaid coverageReport results of survey showing satisfaction with health plans and improvements in coverage and access.
CBO (2014)*Various sources; estimates of the number of uninsured subject to ACA‐related penaltiesEstimates 4 million out of 30 million uninsured will be subject to penalties in 2016.
CBO (2015a)*Various sources; estimates the budgetary and economic consequences that would arise from repealing the ACAProvides estimated effects of repeal on health insurance coverage and the federal budget both in the short and long term, with a warning that they are subject to substantial uncertainty.
CBO (2015b)*Various sources; federal budget projections for 2015–2025The appendix provides estimated budgetary effects of the insurance coverage provisions of the ACA.
Cox et al. (2014)*Marketplace enrollment data from seven states; calculate state‐specific measures of market competition for individual plan markets and the exchangesThere are some instances in which insurers’ market shares have changed significantly under the ACA, with some notable examples due to new entrants.
Cox et al. (2015)*Health insurer rate filings in 10 state departments and Washington, DC; descriptive statistics on marketplace premiums and insurer participationInsurer participation in 2016 is similar to 2015. Average increase in premiums for silver plans between 2015 and 2016 is 4.4%.
Cunningham, Garfield, and Rudowitz (2015)*Ascension Health data on discharges and hospital finances; pre‐post descriptive statistics on discharge volumes, uncompensated care, and hospital financesEvaluate changes in hospital discharges and financial outcomes for Ascension Health system in Medicaid expansion and nonexpansion states immediately before and after the ACA implementation.
Depew and Bailey (2015)*MEPS; DD with total premiums and employee contributions for family or single plans as outcomesPremiums for family health plans increased by 2.5–2.8% due to the dependent coverage provision.
Dickstein et al. (2015)*Healthcare.gov; U.S. Census; Multivariate regression analysis with number of insurers and health insurance premiums as outcomesExamine whether the definition of the coverage region affects market outcomes in the ACA insurance exchanges.
Doty, Rasmussen, and Collins (2014)*CF ACA Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on insurance coverage and marketplace experiences among LatinosUninsured rate among Latinos decreased in states expanding Medicaid. Overall rate of uninsured adults decreased from 20% in 2013 to 15% in 2014.
Gabel et al. (2013)*Survey of private firms with 3–50 employees; descriptive statistics on insurance plans in the small‐group market and small employers’ experiences with SHOP exchangesBoth small firms that decided to offer health insurance benefits and those that did not rated most features of SHOP exchanges highly. These decisions were very price sensitive.
Geyman (2015)Overview and assessment of existing findingsAssesses the ACA's first 5 years and presents arguments for replacing it with single‐payer national health insurance.
GAO (2014a)*CMS and state data; descriptive statistics on the number and types of issuers participating in exchanges and prior to the exchangesMost state exchanges had multiple issuers in 2014, with variation across states.
GAO (2014b)*CMS, state data, and interviews with stakeholders; descriptive statistics and stakeholders’ views regarding SHOP characteristicsDiscusses factors contributing to lower than expected enrollment in the SHOP.
GAO (2015)*Various sources; structured literature search; stakeholder interviews; descriptive statistics on premiumsExamines the effects of tax credits and the availability of affordable health plans. Reviews the variations in premium costs by income, age, and geography.
Giovannelli, Lucia, and Corlette (2015)*Review of state‐specific provider network adequacy standards for marketplace plans in the 50 states and Washington, DCState regulators seek to enhance network transparency for consumers and to monitor compliance.
Golberstein et al. (2015)*National inpatient samples; California state data; DD with inpatient admissions and ED visits for psychiatric diagnoses as outcomesACA's dependent coverage provision is associated with increased inpatient admissions and decreased ED visits for 19‐ to 25‐year olds, relative to comparison group.
Graetz et al. (2014)*Premium data from all marketplaces; descriptive statistics on affordability of premiums (by age, income, geographic area)Many people with incomes just above threshold for subsidies will not have affordable coverage, and hence will be exempt from the individual mandate.
Haeder and Weimer (2013)*Various sources; qualitative analyses to identify the common themes in insurance early exchange implementation; multivariate regression analysis of timely exchange establishmentMany state commissioners of insurance have played constructive roles in exchange planning despite strong political opposition to the ACA from state governors and legislatures.
Hall and Moore (2012)State data; descriptive statistics on the Preexisting Condition Insurance Plan enrollment and costsExamine the experience with the temporary Preexisting Condition Insurance Plan.
Hall and Swartz (2012)Case studies of Maryland, California, and ColoradoDocument the differences across states in terms of their initial approaches and experiences with establishing and designing exchanges.
Hall and Lord (2014)*Overview and assessment of existing findingsInsurance industry's profitability does not seem to be hurt, individual insurance premiums have been lower than expected, and government costs have been less than initially projected.
Hamel et al. (2014)*KFF Survey of Nongroup Health Insurance Enrollees; descriptive statistics on the views and experience of nongroup enrolleesMajority with exchange coverage is previously uninsured and satisfied with coverage.
Hernandez‐Boussard et al. (2014)*State Inpatient and Emergency Department Databases from California, Florida, New York; DD with ED visits (by various individual characteristics) as the outcome measureRate of ED visits increased after ACA's dependent coverage provision implementation but at a slower rate for young adults relative to comparison group.
Holahan, Buettgens, and Dorn (2013)*Urban Institute's Health Insurance Policy Simulation Model; national and state‐level projections of cost and coverage under the ACA Medicaid expansion for the period 2013–2022The states that had not expanded Medicaid as of July 2013 generally are the ones that would potentially benefit the most from this provision.
Howard and Shearer (2013)Description and discussion of various state policies and programs to reduce churning and promote continuity of coverage/careThere are various approaches by states to limit the program eligibility changes and/or the impact those changes have on individual consumers.
Jacobs and Callaghan (2013)*Qualitative and quantitative analysis to explain the variations in relative state progress in implementing Medicaid expansionExamine how economic conditions, past policies, politics, and administrative capacity influence states’ Medicaid expansion decision.
KFF and CF (2015)*KFF/CF 2015 National Survey of Primary Care Providers; descriptive statistics on the impact of the ACA on patient population, providers’ practice capacity, and their opinions about the ACA's impact on medical practiceMajority of primary care providers surveyed saw increase in uninsured or Medicaid patients (in expansion states) without reducing quality of care.
Karpman, Weiss, and Long (2015)*Urban Institute Health Reform Monitoring Survey; descriptive statisticsThe proportion of middle‐ and high‐income adults reporting access problems decreased in 2014 compared to 2013. Disparities persist for certain age, income, and ethnic groups, and 40% of adults reported various provider access problems.
Kaufman et al. (2015)*Encounter data from Quest Diagnostics; descriptive statistics on the number of newly identified diabetes patients in 2013 versus 2014Number of Medicaid patients with new diabetes diagnoses increased, particularly in Medicaid expansion states.
Keehan et al. (2015)*Data from various sources including CMS, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census; projections based on actuarial and econometric modeling methodsProvide various projections for national health expenditures (by spending categories, per enrollee, by sponsor type, etc.) for 2014–2024.
Kirzinger, Cohen, and Gindi (2013)*NHIS; descriptive statistics on the trends in insurance coverage and source of coverage among young adultsAfter the dependent coverage provision of the ACA took effect, private health insurance coverage among young adults aged 19–25 increased relative to a comparison group, while coverage in their own name has decreased.
Kotagal et al. (2014)*BRFSS, NHIS; DD with health status, presence of a usual source of care and ability to afford medications, dental care, or physician visits as outcome measuresFind increase in coverage for young adults of 19–25 years old relative to a comparison group, but more limited changes in access to care and health status.
Kowalski (2014)*National Association of Insurance Commissioners data; state‐specific seasonally adjusted trend regressions of health insurance coverage, premiums, and costsSuggests that state policies toward the ACA have differential effects on welfare of market participants.
Lau et al. (2014)*MEPS; pre‐post design using multivariate regression analysis of health care use including routine examination in the past year, blood pressure/cholesterol screenings, influenza vaccination, and annual dental visitACA's dependent coverage provision has increased insurance coverage and the use of some preventive services among young adults.
Levitt, Cox, and Claxton (2015)*Health Coverage Portal data on insurance company filings; descriptive statistics on marketplace enrollments (by state)Discuss individual market coverage in 2014. About 85% of those with marketplace plans were eligible for subsidies.
Lipton and Decker (2015)*NHIS; DD with likelihood of HPV vaccine initiation, completion and awareness as outcome measuresACA's dependent coverage provision is associated with an increase in HPV vaccination rates for young adults relative to comparison group.
Martinez, Ward, and Adams (2015)*NHIS; descriptive statistics on changes in health insurance coverage and selected measures of health care access and utilizationDocument disparities in access to care, coverage, and health care utilization.
McCue and Hall (2013)Insurer data from the Department of Health and Human Services; descriptive statistics on premium increases for individual and small‐group plans as well as the contributing factors including the ACAInsurers attributed three‐quarters or more of the larger rate increases to factors such as trends in medical expenses. They attributed only a very small portion of these changes to the ACA.
McCue and Hall (2015)*Insurer data from the Department of Health and Human Services; descriptive statistics on premium increases for individual and small‐group plans as well as the contributing factors including the ACAInsurers attributed the great portion of larger rate increases to factors such as trends in medical expenses, and most of them did not attribute these changes to the ACA.
McMorrow et al. (2015)*NHIS; descriptive statistics on the trends in insurance coverage and source of coverage among young adultsThe dependent coverage provision reduced uninsurance mainly among high‐income young adults, while the later ACA provisions reduced uninsurance mainly among low‐ and moderate‐income young adults, particularly in Medicaid expansion states.
Mulcahy et al. (2013)*IMS Health Charge Data Master database; DD with nondiscretionary ED visits (by type of insurance coverage and reason for visit) as the outcome measureACA's dependent coverage provision is associated with an increase in the privately covered proportion of young adult ED visits (and a decrease in uninsured young adult ED visits) relative to comparison group.
O'Hara and Brault (2013)*ACS; DD with uninsurance and private health insurance coverage rates as the outcome measuresEstimate insurance rates by state, gender, race, ethnicity, English speaking, and citizenship status. Disparities by gender narrowed, but those by race and ethnicity persist.
Olson (2015)Case study of Pennsylvania in terms of its existing Medicaid program and how it has been affected by the ACAExamine financial and other considerations in policy makers’ Medicaid expansion decision.
Polsky et al. (2014)*Data on all plans offered in the marketplaces from the Health Insurance Exchanges (HIX) 2.0 dataset; descriptive statistics on silver plansCompare insurer competition, plan characteristics, and premiums in health insurance exchanges for rural and urban areas.
Polsky et al. (2015)*Simulated patient study of primary care practices in 10 states; descriptive statistics on the availability of appointments and waiting times for appointments for new patients by state and insurance typeAvailability of primary care appointments for Medicaid patients increased following an increase in Medicaid reimbursements while no changes were observed for the private insurance group.
Rasmussen et al. (2014)*CF ACA Tracking Survey; descriptive statistics on premiums, out‐of‐pocket costs, people's ability to compare plans and their experiences in terms of finding out about their eligibility for financial assistance or MedicaidMost adults with marketplace coverage are satisfied with their plans. Those with low or moderate incomes report having premiums and deductibles similar to those with ESI.
Rasmussen et al. (2015)CF Biennial Health Insurance Survey; descriptive statistics on health insurance coverage, cost‐related problems getting needed care, and medical debt in California, Florida, New York, and TexasCalifornia and New York have their own exchanges and expanded Medicaid. Uninsured rates in these states are lower and affordability is better than in Florida and Texas, which rely on the federal exchange and did not expand Medicaid.
Rosenbaum et al. (2014)*Review plan‐to‐plan transition policies implemented in 16 states and Washington, DC, to mitigate the effects of churning and to ensure continuity of care.There are various strategies to mitigate the effects of churning across Medicaid, CHIP, and publicly subsidized private coverage, but they are rather complex and may take time to implement and to yield the desired results.
Saloner and Le Cook (2014)*National Survey of Drug Use and Health; DD with selected measures of mental health and substance abuse treatment as outcomesACA's dependent coverage provision is associated with increased use of mental health treatment among young adults relative to comparison group. No significant changes were observed in substance use treatment.
Schoen, Radley, and Collins (2015)*MEPS, CPS; descriptive statistics on ESI plan trends regarding their premiums, affordability, worker contributions, and out‐of‐pocket costsReport that the cost of ESI premiums rose faster than median incomes during 2003–2013. A slowdown in the growth rate of premiums was observed over the last 3 years following the ACA implementation.
Scott et al. (2015)*National Trauma Data Bank; DD with uninsurance status and clinical outcomes for trauma patients as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with a significant decrease in the rate of uninsured trauma patients ages 19–25, but there are no significant changes in clinical trauma outcomes.
Shane and Ayyagari (2014)*MEPS; DD with insurance coverage by race, income, marital status, and policy holder status as the outcome measuresWhile the dependent coverage provision increased insurance coverage among all racial and ethnic groups, it did not reduce overall disparities. Disparities may have widened among low‐income individuals.
Skopec and Kronick (2013)*Various sources including MEPS and marketplace insurance premiums from selected states; descriptive comparisons of the premiums in the individual and small‐group markets to earlier CBO estimatesPremiums for silver plans in 2014 are lower than CBO estimates and appear to be affordable for the most part.
Sommers and Kronick (2012)*CPS; DD with insurance coverage and type as well as policy holder status as outcomesDependent coverage provision led to increases in insurance coverage for young adults, especially among minorities.
Sommers et al. (2013)*NHIS, CPS; DD with insurance coverage and access to care as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with significant increases in private health insurance and access to care for young adults relative to comparison group.
Sommers, Kenney, and Epstein (2014)*Administrative records on Medicaid enrollment in four states, ACS; DD with coverage through Medicaid, private health insurance coverage, and uninsurance as outcome measuresFind steady increase in Medicaid enrollment in four Medicaid expansion states, especially among those with health‐related limitations.
Sommers et al. (2014a)*Gallup‐Healthways, Well‐Being Index, and CMS data; multivariate regression analysis with insurance coverage and access to care as outcome measuresReport that 7.3 to 17.2 million adults gained coverage by mid‐2014.
Sommers et al. (2015)*Gallup‐Healthways Well‐Being Index; multivariate regression analysis and DD with self‐reported coverage, access to care, and health as outcome measuresSelf‐reported insurance coverage, access to primary care and medications, affordability, and health improved significantly after the first 2 years under the ACA.
Swartz, Hall, and Jost (2015)*Various sources including interviews; case study of Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Maryland, Montana, and TexasDescribe various competitive strategies adopted by insurance carriers during the first year of the ACA marketplaces. These competitive strategies vary by state.
Vujicic, Yarbrough, and Nasseh (2014)*NHIS, 2008–2012; DD with private dental benefits coverage, dental care utilization, and financial barriers to obtaining needed dental care as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with “spillover” increases in dental coverage, dental care utilization, and affordability for young adults relative to comparison group.
Wallace and Sommers (2015)*BRFSS; DD with insurance coverage, self‐reported health, and access to health care as outcome measuresDependent coverage provision is associated with better self‐reported health and access to health care among young adults relative to comparison group.
Wilensky and Gray (2013)Review of Medicaid policies in all 50 states and Washington, DCEvaluate coverage of ACA‐required preventive services under Medicaid in different states.

Studies that are marked with an asterisk (*) were deemed most relevant or provide more recent evidence and are discussed in this review.

ACA, Affordable Care Act; ACS, American Community Survey; BRFSS, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; CBO, Congressional Budget Office; CF, Commonwealth Fund; CMS, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services; CPS, Current Population Survey; DD, difference‐in‐differences analysis; ED, emergency department; ESI, employer‐sponsored insurance; HRET, Health Research and Educational Trust; KFF, Kaiser Family Foundation; MEPS, Medical Expenditure Panel Survey; NHIS, National Health Interview Survey; SIPP, Survey of Income and Program Participation.

Results

Dependent Coverage Provision

Under the so‐called young adult mandate, individuals between the ages of 19–25 years are allowed to remain on their parents’ health insurance plans. Since this mandate took effect in 2010, many researchers have already examined the impact of the law on this population. Most of this literature uses a quasi‐experimental difference‐in‐differences approach to compare young adults aged 19–25 to slightly older individuals before and after 2010. Although magnitudes vary, all studies show a rapid increase in insurance coverage among young adults after this provision took effect (Cantor et al. 2012; Sommers and Kronick 2012; Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon 2013; Kirzinger, Cohen, and Gindi 2013; O'Hara and Brault 2013; Chua and Sommers 2014; Kotagal et al. 2014). Collins et al. (2013a) reported that in 2013 an estimated 15 million young adults were on a parent's policy in the past 12 months, an increase of 1.3 million since 2011. Approximately half of these were full‐time students (Collins et al. 2013a). These estimates are in line with other studies suggesting that 1–3 million uninsured young adults gained coverage under the ACA (Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon 2013; O'Hara and Brault 2013; Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum 2015; McMorrow et al. 2015).

The gains in coverage are especially pronounced for men, unmarried individuals, and nonstudents (Sommers et al. 2013). Consistent with adverse selection, young adults in worse health acquired coverage sooner and with greater frequency than others (Sommers et al. 2013). This mandate primarily benefitted those with relatively high incomes, while Medicaid expansion and marketplace reforms implemented in 2014 targeted lower income young adults (McMorrow et al. 2015). Overall, the rate of uninsured young adults decreased from 30 percent in 2009 to 19 percent in 2014, which translates to about 6 million of them remaining uninsured in 2014 (McMorrow et al. 2015). Disparities persist by race, ethnicity, and income (O'Hara and Brault 2013; Shane and Ayyagari 2014). Most studies report that gains in insurance coverage are associated with better access to health care for young adults (Sommers et al. 2013; Wallace and Sommers 2015), especially among men and college graduates (Barbaresco, Courtemanche, and Qi 2015). Others find that the ACA is associated with improvements in self‐reported health status among young adults (Carlson et al. 2014; Chua and Sommers 2014; Barbaresco, Courtemanche, and Qi 2015; Wallace and Sommers 2015).

Studies have examined the effect of expanded dependent coverage on the utilization of emergency department (ED) care (Mulcahy et al. 2013; Hernandez‐Boussard et al. 2014; Akosa Antwi et al. 2015), preventive services (Lau et al. 2014; Barbaresco, Courtemanche, and Qi 2015; Lipton and Decker 2015), dental care (Vujicic, Yarbrough, and Nasseh 2014), and mental health treatment (Saloner and Le Cook 2014; Golberstein et al. 2015). Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon (2015) found that inpatient hospital visits increased 3.5 percent and mental health visits increased 9 percent among young adults, without significant differences in hospital length of stay or charges. ED visits actually decreased among young adults (Hernandez‐Boussard et al. 2014; Akosa Antwi et al. 2015).

Besides the changes in insurance coverage and health care utilization among this group, the proportion of young adults reporting high out‐of‐pocket spending for health care decreased significantly following passage of the ACA (Busch, Golberstein, and Meara 2014; Chua and Sommers 2014). Compared to individual plans, premiums for plans covering children have increased 2.5–2.8 percent more due to the dependent coverage provision, but employers absorbed much of this increase (Depew and Bailey 2015). The amount of uncompensated care for young adults decreased as a greater proportion of ED, trauma center, and psychiatric inpatient utilization being covered by private insurance (Mulcahy et al. 2013; Akosa Antwi, Moriya, and Simon 2015; Golberstein et al. 2015; Scott et al. 2015).

Overall Health Insurance Coverage, Access, and Affordability

Preliminary data suggest that the law has substantially decreased the number of uninsured Americans (Sommers et al. 2014a, 2015; Cohen and Martinez 2015; Collins et al. 2015a,b). Figure 1 shows recent trends and projections for various sources of health insurance coverage and uninsurance rates (Keehan et al. 2015). The rate of uninsured adults decreased from 20 percent in 2013 to 15 percent in 2014 (Doty, Rasmussen, and Collins 2014), with further declines expected in coming years (Keehan et al. 2015). According to Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum (2015), an estimated 7–16 million uninsured people acquired coverage since 2010, with young adults, low‐income individuals, and minorities experiencing large gains. Similarly, the CBO (2015a) estimates that 17 million more people would have been uninsured in 2015 without the ACA. In the first 5 years of the ACA, 11.7 million purchased new plans from the marketplace, 10.8 million more have Medicaid coverage, and 3 million young adults are on their parents’ policies (Blumenthal, Abrams, and Nuzum 2015).

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Health Insurance Coverage in the United States before and after the ACA